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Forex Trend: How to predict the forex market?

This article will help you to apply your forex knowledge by predicting the changing nature of the foreign exchange market in the most appropriate way.

Being capable of identifying forex trends today is one of the basic skills a forex trader should possess. The trend is the common direction of a market or an asset price. Trends may differ in length, from short to intermediate, or to long term. Being able to identify a trend can prove to be highly profitable.. and the cause is that you will be able to trade with the trend.

If the common trend of the forex market is rising.. you should be careful and attentive in regards to taking any positions.. that may rely on the trend moving in the opposite direction. A trend can apply to interest rates, equities, and various yields – and any other market that can be characterized by a movement in volume or price.

We will outline 3 kinds of trends that you need to know : ( uptrend- downtrend -sideways trend). For example, if the trend goes upwards in relation to the graph, then the chosen currency (USD) is appreciating in value. To a trader who is just starting out, this may seem like the forex winning trend, but this is not always the case. If the trend goes downwards in relation to the graph, it is depreciating in value. As for the sideways trend, the currencies are depreciating or appreciating – they are in a stable condition. Knowing this will help you in becoming a forex trend master and is key to making the right Forex daily predictions.

Types of forex analysis:

We are now going to explain the two main areas of forex analysis and explore them in greater detail. 

Fundamental Analysis:

Focuses on several factors within the forex market. Traders must be careful about fundamental factors such as gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, economic growth activity, and manufacturing. Fundamental analysis in forex includes studying the economic power of various countries, in order to make wise forex predictions.

It provides us with information on how geopolitical and economical events affect the currency market. 

How to predict Forex movement? 

Economists produced the main economic calendar, where they make daily predictions around various economic values based upon recent history. It includes the date, time, currency, data released, actual, forecast, and previous. There are certain economic figures, which when announced, nearly have a heavy effect on the movement of the forex market.

They are:

Interest rates

Situation of employment

Budget, trade balance, and treasury budget

GDP

When a certain country raises its interest rate, its currency will accordingly strengthen, this is due to the fact that investors will shift their assets to the country in question, in order to reach higher returns. Considerable declines in payroll employment are one of the warning signs of weak economic activity that could lead to lower interest rates. This has a negative impact on a currency.

A country that has a substantial trade balance deficiency will have a weak currency because there will be sustained commercial selling of its currency accordingly. GDP is the main identifier of the power of 

economic activity. There is a connection between a high GDP figure, and predictions of higher interest rates, which is positive for the currency in question.

It’s a matter of knowing which prediction indicator is gaining the most attention because it will become the catalyst for future price movements in the forex market. Pay attention to news revisions (the situation on the market can change in a blink of an eye).

Technical Analysis:

The essence of technical analysis is that it attempts to predict future changes in forex trend lines by thoroughly testing past market data, especially price data. The patterns that are produced by movements in price are called forex signals. This is the aim of technical analysis – is to uncover the latest signals of a market by inspecting past forex market signals. This helps traders perform daily forex expectations and detect a forex trend reversal. In addition, prices move in trends. Technical analysts tend to believe that price fluctuations are not random and are not unpredictable by nature. Once a certain type of trend is established, it is to continue for a certain period of time.

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FX traders can rely on volume charts, price charts, and other mathematical representations of market data to discover the entry or exit points for a trade.  The technical analysis increases discipline and decreases the influence of emotions in your trading plan. Technical analysis gives you what you need for forex daily analysis and prediction, and allows you to evaluate your trading plan objectively.

Now is the time to define technical indicator types. The first one in the line is the trend. These indicators smooth price data out. The second is the power of the trend. This kind of indicator features the market’s intensity on a specific price, by examining the forex market positions taken by various market participants.

The basics of strength (power)indicators are volume or open interest. The following strength is volatility, which refers to the magnitude of daily price oscillations. Volatility changes are expected to be equal to changes in prices. 

A cycle Forex prediction indicator defines the timing of a concrete Forex market pattern. Finally, the last one is momentum . These indicators define whether the trend will be strong or weak after it progresses over a period of time. Momentum is highest at the time a trend begins, and lowest when it changes.

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